Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.603017 1.851555 2.120428 2.432233 2.783156 3.165167 3.611742
2024-10-20 1.161617 1.490843 1.879504 2.369099 2.966000 3.666515 4.546963
2024-10-27 0.910837 1.283854 1.759253 2.402112 3.240173 4.286235 5.679850
2024-11-03 0.732404 1.123812 1.657993 2.426642 3.488071 4.883671 6.835133
2024-11-10 0.594520 0.986852 1.556901 2.424264 3.684494 5.418168 7.945127
2024-11-17 0.480928 0.860335 1.445075 2.381989 3.807859 5.850826 8.940490
2024-11-24 0.391312 0.752081 1.340043 2.328684 3.898846 6.233252 9.882722
2024-12-01 0.333235 0.684069 1.285608 2.341754 4.083604 6.758323 11.061686
2024-12-08 0.280967 0.615535 1.218364 2.321832 4.208355 7.194919 12.130906
2024-12-15 0.249818 0.580146 1.202121 2.383021 4.465865 7.850757 13.574757
2024-12-22 0.216569 0.533863 1.158580 2.388970 4.627324 8.359967 14.815022
2024-12-29 0.200134 0.519378 1.172364 2.498877 4.975440 9.194726 16.627518
2025-01-05 0.180533 0.495443 1.166581 2.575763 5.279756 9.991286 18.452978
2025-01-12 0.154073 0.450346 1.111421 2.551082 5.397669 10.480313 19.800682
2025-01-19 0.137770 0.426282 1.097004 2.605603 5.667929 11.253176 21.681329
2025-01-26 0.122195 0.400534 1.074803 2.640801 5.902979 11.977617 23.519910
2025-02-02 0.106601 0.370974 1.039092 2.642266 6.070213 12.587769 25.189654
2025-02-09 0.090738 0.336545 0.986059 2.598500 6.140510 13.020268 26.561467
2025-02-16 0.076660 0.303527 0.930721 2.541801 6.177031 13.388309 27.832442
2025-02-23 0.067753 0.284330 0.907409 2.556268 6.364065 14.055778 29.694311
2025-03-02 0.058635 0.261779 0.871247 2.534931 6.470311 14.569250 31.289694
2025-03-09 0.053789 0.252803 0.870821 2.601042 6.774035 15.491624 33.711193
2025-03-16 0.047561 0.236895 0.847984 2.607495 6.942925 16.149904 35.651572